Political polarization and policy uncertainty

Geography, Uncertainty, and Polarization (with Nolan McCarty, Boris Shor, Chris Tausanovitch, and Chris Warshaw), Political Science Research and Methods 2018.

Why has U.S. Policy Uncertainty Risen Since 1960? 2014. American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 104,5: 55-60 (with Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Brandice Canes-Wrone, and Steven Davis).

Geography and Gridlock in the United States. 2015.  In Nathaniel Persily, ed. Solutions to Political Polarization in America. Cambridge University Press, Pages 104-122.


Issue voting

The Weight of Issues: Cross-Pressured Voters in the United States (with Aina Gallego), unpublished paper, current draft March 2016.

The Strength of Issues:  Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability, Ideological Constraint, and Issue Voting. 2008. American Political Science Review 102, 2: 215-232 (with Stephen Ansolabehere and James Snyder). 

Does Religion Distract the Poor?  Income and Issue Voting Around the World. 2008. Comparative Political Studies 41, 4:  437-476 (with Ana Lorena De La O).

Purple America. 2006. Journal of Economic Perspectives 20, 2: 97-118 (with Stephen Ansolabehere and James Snyder).


Federalism and decentralization

Decentralized Rule and Revenue.  Paper commissioned by USAID, June 2016.

Fiscal Decentralization and the Business cycle: An Empirical Study of Seven Federations. 2007. Economics and Politics 22,1: 37-67 (with Erik Wibbels). 

Market Discipline and U.S. Federalism.  2012.  In Peter Conti-Brown and David Skeel, eds., When States Go Broke: The Origins, Context, and Solutions for the American States in Fiscal Crisis.  Cambridge University Press.

The Nationalization of Elections in Federations, 2011. Party Politics 17,5: 629-653 (with Erik Wibbels). 

Federalism and Inter-regional Redistribution. 2010.  In Núria Bosch, Marta Espasa, and Albert Solé-Ollé, The Political Economy of Inter-regional Fiscal Flows.  Edward Elgar.  

Globalization and Fiscal Decentralization. 2007. In Gustav Ranis and Annalisa Zinn, eds., Globalization and Self-Determination: Is the Nation-State Under Siege?  Routledge.

The Political Economy of Federalism. 2006. in Barry Weingast and Donald Wittman, eds., Oxford Handbook of Political Economy (Oxford University Press).

Hamilton's Paradox: The Promise and Peril of Federalism2006.  Cambridge University Press.  Winner of the Gregory Luebbert Award for best book in comparative politics, American Political Science Association.

Comparative Federalism and Decentralization: On Meaning and Measurement. 2004. Comparative Politics 36,4: 481-500.

Reviving Leviathan: Fiscal Federalism and the Growth of Government. 2003. International Organization 57 (Fall): 695-729.

Beyond the Fiction of Federalism: Macroeconomic Management in Multi-tiered Systems. 2003. World Politics 54,4 (July): 494-531 (with Erik Wibbels). 

Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints. 2003. MIT Press (co-edited with Gunnar Eskeland and Jennie Litvack).  

The Dilemma of Fiscal Federalism: Grants and Fiscal Performance around the World. 2002. American Journal of Political Science 46, 3: 670-687.

Does Federalism Preserve Markets? 1997. Virginia Law Review 83, 7, with Susan rose-Ackerman


Political and economic geography 

Who is my Neighbor?  The Spatial Efficiency of Partisanship.  Unpublished paper (with Nicholas Eubank).  Current draft: February 2019.

Political Dislocation: A Voter-Level Measure of Partisan Representation and Gerrymandering (with Nicholas Eubank). Current draft: April 2019.

The Loser's Bonus: Political Geography and Minority Party Representation.  Unpublished paper (with Jowei Chen).  Current draft November 13, 2018

The Achilles Heel of Plurality Systems: Geography and Representation in Multi-Party Democracies. 2015. American Journal of Political Science 59,4: 789-805 (with Ernesto Calvo). Winner Michael Wallerstein Award for best paper in political economy, American Political Science Association.  

Cutting Through the Thicket: Redistricting Simulations and the Detection of Partisan Gerrymanders.  2015.  Election Law Journal 14,4: 1-15.  (with Jowei Chen).  Selected as one of the winners of the Common Cause Gerrymandering Standard Writing Competition. 

How Should we Measure District-Level Public Opinion on Individual Issues? 2012.  Journal of Politics 74, 1: 203-219 (with Christopher Warshaw).

Measuring District-Level Economic and Moral Ideology, dormant unpublished paper (with Christopher Warshaw).

Unintentional Gerrymandering:  Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures. 2013. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 8: 239-269 (with Jowei Chen). 

The Geographic Distribution of Political Preferences. 2010. Annual Review of Political Science 13: 297-340.

Economic Geography and Economic Voting: Evidence from the U.S. States. 2006. British Journal of Political Science 36, 3: 527-47.


Communication Technology

Peer Effects and Externalities in Technology Adoption: Evidence from Community Reporting in Uganda (with Romain Ferrali, Guy Grossman, and Melina Platas). Forthcoming, American Journal of Political Science

Social Networks, Social Context, and Political Participation: Evidence from Uganda (with Nick Eubank, Guy Grossman, and Melina Platas). May 2019..

Crowdsourcing Accountability: ICT for Service Delivery (with Guy Grossman and Melina Platas). World Development 112 (2018): 74-87.

          Supplementary Information


Distributive politics

Representation and Redistribution in Federations. 2011. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108,21:8601-8604 (with Tiberiu Dragu). 

Política Distributiva na Federação: Estratégias Eleitorais, Barganhas Legislativas e Coalizões de Governo. 2004. Dados 47, 3 (with Marta Arretche).

Getting into the Game:  Legislative Bargaining, Distributive Politics, and EU Enlargement. 2009. Public Finance and Management 9,4 (with Deniz Aksoy). 

Strength in Numbers: Representation and Redistribution in the European Union. 2002. European Union Politics 3, 2: 151-175.


Endogenous political institutions

Back to the Future: Endogenous Institutions and Comparative Politics,” in Mark Lichbach and Alan Zuckerman, eds., Comparative Politics: Rationality, Culture, and Structure (second edition).  Cambridge University Press, 2008.


Firearms Acquisition

Handgun Acquisition in California After Two Mass Shootings. Annals of Internal Medicine May 16, 2017 (with David Studdert, Yifan Zhang, Rob Hyndman, and Garen Wintemute).