Political polarization and policy uncertainty
Elections, Political Polarization, and Economic Uncertainty, NBER Working Paper 27961 (with Aniket Baksy, Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven Davis), October 2020.
Keeping Your Enemies Close: Electoral Rules and Partisan Polarization, in Frances Rosenbluth and Margaret Weir, The New Politics of Insecurity. Cambridge University Press, 2020.
Geography, Uncertainty, and Polarization (with Nolan McCarty, Boris Shor, Chris Tausanovitch, and Chris Warshaw), Political Science Research and Methods 2018.
Why has U.S. Policy Uncertainty Risen Since 1960? 2014. American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 104,5: 55-60 (with Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Brandice Canes-Wrone, and Steven Davis).
Geography and Gridlock in the United States. 2015. In Nathaniel Persily, ed. Solutions to Political Polarization in America. Cambridge University Press, Pages 104-122.
Issue voting
The Weight of Issues: Cross-Pressured Voters in the United States (with Aina Gallego), unpublished paper, current draft March 2016.
The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability, Ideological Constraint, and Issue Voting. 2008. American Political Science Review 102, 2: 215-232 (with Stephen Ansolabehere and James Snyder).
Does Religion Distract the Poor? Income and Issue Voting Around the World. 2008. Comparative Political Studies 41, 4: 437-476 (with Ana Lorena De La O).
Purple America. 2006. Journal of Economic Perspectives 20, 2: 97-118 (with Stephen Ansolabehere and James Snyder).
Federalism and decentralization
The Great Recession and the Public Sector in Rural America. Journal of Economic Geography. Forthcoming 2023.
An Evolutionary Path for a European Monetary Fund? A Comparative Perspective. Briefing paper prepared for the European Parliament, May 2017.
Decentralized Rule and Revenue. Published in Jonathan Rodden and Erik Wibbels, Decentralized Governance and Accountability: Academic Research and the Future of Donor Programming. Cambridge University Press 2019.
Fiscal Decentralization and the Business cycle: An Empirical Study of Seven Federations. 2007. Economics and Politics 22,1: 37-67 (with Erik Wibbels).
Market Discipline and U.S. Federalism. 2012. In Peter Conti-Brown and David Skeel, eds., When States Go Broke: The Origins, Context, and Solutions for the American States in Fiscal Crisis. Cambridge University Press.
The Nationalization of Elections in Federations, 2011. Party Politics 17,5: 629-653 (with Erik Wibbels).
Federalism and Inter-regional Redistribution. 2010. In Núria Bosch, Marta Espasa, and Albert Solé-Ollé, The Political Economy of Inter-regional Fiscal Flows. Edward Elgar.
Globalization and Fiscal Decentralization. 2007. In Gustav Ranis and Annalisa Zinn, eds., Globalization and Self-Determination: Is the Nation-State Under Siege? Routledge.
The Political Economy of Federalism. 2006. in Barry Weingast and Donald Wittman, eds., Oxford Handbook of Political Economy (Oxford University Press).
Hamilton's Paradox: The Promise and Peril of Federalism. 2006. Cambridge University Press. Winner of the Gregory Luebbert Award for best book in comparative politics, American Political Science Association.
Comparative Federalism and Decentralization: On Meaning and Measurement. 2004. Comparative Politics 36,4: 481-500.
Reviving Leviathan: Fiscal Federalism and the Growth of Government. 2003. International Organization 57 (Fall): 695-729.
Beyond the Fiction of Federalism: Macroeconomic Management in Multi-tiered Systems. 2003. World Politics 54,4 (July): 494-531 (with Erik Wibbels).
Fiscal Decentralization and the Challenge of Hard Budget Constraints. 2003. MIT Press (co-edited with Gunnar Eskeland and Jennie Litvack).
The Dilemma of Fiscal Federalism: Grants and Fiscal Performance around the World. 2002. American Journal of Political Science 46, 3: 670-687.
Does Federalism Preserve Markets? 1997. Virginia Law Review 83, 7, with Susan rose-Ackerman
Political and economic geography
The Urban-Rural Divide in Historical Political Economy. Oxford Handbook of Historical Political Economy. Edited by Jeffery A. Jenkins and Jared Rubin, 2023, Oxford University Press.
How Social Context Affects Immigration Attitudes. Journal of Politics forthcoming (with Adam J. Berinsky, Christopher F. Karpowitz, Zeyu Chris Peng, and Cara J. Wong).
Who is my Neighbor? The Spatial Efficiency of Partisanship. Statistics and Public Policy (with Nicholas Eubank). September 2020.
Political Dislocation: A Precinct-Level Measure of Partisan Representation and Gerrymandering (with Daryl DeFord and Nicholas Eubank). Political Analysis 30,3: 403-425 (2022).
Political Geography and Representation: A Case Study of Districting in Pennsylvania (with Thomas Weighill), in Political Geometry, edited by Moon Duchin and Olivia Walch, 2022, Springer.
The Loser's Bonus: Political Geography and Minority Party Representation. Dormant unpublished paper (with Jowei Chen). Current draft November 13, 2018.
The Achilles Heel of Plurality Systems: Geography and Representation in Multi-Party Democracies. 2015. American Journal of Political Science 59,4: 789-805 (with Ernesto Calvo). Winner Michael Wallerstein Award for best paper in political economy, American Political Science Association.
Cutting Through the Thicket: Redistricting Simulations and the Detection of Partisan Gerrymanders. 2015. Election Law Journal 14,4: 1-15. (with Jowei Chen). Selected as one of the winners of the Common Cause Gerrymandering Standard Writing Competition.
How Should we Measure District-Level Public Opinion on Individual Issues? 2012. Journal of Politics 74, 1: 203-219 (with Christopher Warshaw).
Measuring District-Level Economic and Moral Ideology. Dormant unpublished paper (with Christopher Warshaw).
Unintentional Gerrymandering: Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures. 2013. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 8: 239-269 (with Jowei Chen).
Economic Geography and Economic Voting: Evidence from the U.S. States. 2006. British Journal of Political Science 36, 3: 527-47.
Communication Technology, Participation, and Social Networks
Who Registers? Village Networks, Household Dynamics, and Voter Registration in Rural Uganda (with with Romain Ferrali, Guy Grossman, and Melina Platas). Comparative Political Studies 55,6: 899–932 (2022).
Viral Voting: Social Networks and Political Participation (with Nick Eubank, Guy Grossman, and Melina Platas). Quarterly Journal of Political Science 16,3: 265 - 284 (2021).
Crowdsourcing Accountability: ICT for Service Delivery (with Guy Grossman and Melina Platas). World Development 112 (2018): 74-87.
Distributive politics
Representation and Redistribution in Federations. 2011. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108,21:8601-8604 (with Tiberiu Dragu).
Política Distributiva na Federação: Estratégias Eleitorais, Barganhas Legislativas e Coalizões de Governo. 2004. Dados 47, 3 (with Marta Arretche).
Getting into the Game: Legislative Bargaining, Distributive Politics, and EU Enlargement. 2009. Public Finance and Management 9,4 (with Deniz Aksoy).
Strength in Numbers: Representation and Redistribution in the European Union. 2002. European Union Politics 3, 2: 151-175.
Endogenous political institutions
Back to the Future: Endogenous Institutions and Comparative Politics,” in Mark Lichbach and Alan Zuckerman, eds., Comparative Politics: Rationality, Culture, and Structure (second edition). Cambridge University Press, 2008.
Public Health
Policies to Influence Perceptions about COVID-19 Risk: The Case of Maps. 2022, Science Advances 8(11): (with Claudia Engel and Marco Tabellini).
Homicide Deaths Among Adult Cohabitants of Handgun Owners in California, 2004 to 2016: A Cohort Study, Annals of Internal Medicine 2022 (with David Studdert, Yifan Zhang, Erin Holsinger, Lea Prince, Alexander Holsinger, Garen Wintemute, and Matthew Miller).